China targets faster, quality growth amid push for recovery, modernization

China aims to achieve a faster economic growth of around 5 percent with better quality of development in 2023, as the world’s second-largest economy gathers pace to build up recovery momentum and push ahead with its modernization drive.

The projected target, higher than the 3-percent growth recorded in the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) last year, is one of the key objectives for development laid out in the government work report delivered by Premier Li Keqiang to the national legislature, which began its annual session Sunday.

The world is closely watching for new policy moves on China’s development, as national lawmakers and political advisors convene for the first annual gathering since the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) in October last year. Meanwhile, the country’s quick recovery from COVID-19 has raised hopes for wider growth globally, adding to the significance of the event.

Delivering steady and quality growth is key to realizing the CPC’s grand blueprint for building a great modern socialist country by the middle of this century.

“It is imperative to maintain reasonable long-term economic growth while ensuring better quality and efficiency and to sustain our miraculous achievements of fast economic growth and long-term social stability,” as the 20th CPC National Congress envisaged increasing the country’s per capita GDP to be on par with that of a mid-level developed country by 2035, according to a separate report submitted Sunday by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the top economic planner.

The growth target of around 5 percent “is necessary to ensure stable growth, employment and prices,” according to the NDRC report on the implementation of the 2022 plan for national economic and social development and on the 2023 draft plan for national economic and social development.

“It will be a positive signal to the market and will bolster confidence, guide expectations, expand employment, improve living standards, and prevent and defuse risks while pursuing development,” the NDRC report said.

This year’s GDP target is also consistent with the growth potential of the Chinese economy at present and with the capability of resources and production factors to support the economy, according to the report.

“For China, 2023 is a year of economic comeback,” said Liu Shouying, dean of the School of Economics at Renmin University of China.

While the annual GDP target is an appropriate growth pace required to stabilize expectations and economic expansion, it has indicated that the Chinese economy will continue to focus on high-quality development, Liu said.

China’s economy is staging a steady recovery, with marked improvement in consumer demand, market distribution, industrial production and business expectations, the premier said, noting that the economy is demonstrating vast potential and momentum for further growth.

The recovery can be seen and felt in the scenes of busy roads, crowded cinemas and restaurants, and shopping sprees both online and in stores. The latest official data showed that manufacturing activity has returned to the highest level in more than a decade, foreign investment growth rebounded, and monthly new bank lending surged more than expected.

While acknowledging past achievements, Li cautioned of difficulties and challenges confronting the economy, including rising uncertainties in the external environment, insufficient domestic demand, and risks and hidden dangers in the real estate market.

It is important to “give priority to ensuring stable growth, employment and prices” this year, Li told lawmakers.

This year, China aims to create around 12 million new urban jobs, with a surveyed urban unemployment rate of around 5.5 percent, according to the government work report. Other annual objectives include keeping the consumer price index increase at around 3 percent and grain output above 650 million tonnes.

The government work report unveiled a raft of measures to shore up growth this year. They include a projected deficit-to-GDP ratio of 3 percent, 0.2 percentage points higher than the level last year, and 3.8 trillion yuan (about 549.8 billion U.S. dollars) of special-purpose bonds to be allocated to local governments.

The report also called for making the prudent monetary policy targeted and forceful, noting that the M2 money supply and aggregate financing should increase generally in step with nominal economic growth to support the real economy.

To expand domestic demand, China will prioritize the recovery and expansion of consumption, the report said, noting that the incomes of urban and rural residents will be boosted through multiple channels.

“China’s economy will turn for the better on the whole and its growth rate is more likely than not to reach a normal level,” said economist Yu Miaojie, president of Liaoning University and a national legislator.

International institutions and investment banks have raised their predictions for China’s growth this year. The International Monetary Fund lifted in late January its forecast for China’s growth in 2023 to 5.2 percent, up from a previous prediction of 4.4 percent.

Source: Lao News Agency

Vietnam’s overseas investments rise sharply in January-February

Vietnam’s outbound investments reached 115.1 million USD in the first two months of this year, 2.16 times higher than that the same period last year, according to the General Statistics Office (GSO) under the Ministry of Planning and Investment.

Of the sum, 109.4 million USD was poured into 10 new projects, a 2.1-fold rise year-on-year. Meanwhile, four other projects increased their capital by nearly 5.7 million USD.

Notably, Vietnamese conglomerate Masan Group’s subsidiary The Sherpa received a licence to place 105 million USD in Singapore-based tech firm Trust IQ Pte. Ltd. The project is part of Masan’s strategic goal by 2025 to create a consumer – retail – technology ecosystem.

Vietnamese firms invested in 10 sectors abroad, including information-communications, services, wholesale and retail, health care, processing and manufacturing.

Singapore was the biggest recipient of the investments, with a combined capital of 105.5 million USD poured into a new project and another existing one. It was followed by Israel and Laos.

As of February 20, Vietnam counted 1,617 valid overseas projects valued at more than 21.89 billion USD, with 141 by State-invested firms worth some 11.67 billion USD, making up 53.3% of the total.

Laos, Cambodia and Venezuela lured the most Vietnamese investments, mainly in mining, and agriculture, forestry and fishery.

Source: Lao News Agency

Southeast Asia’s Largest Wind Power Plant To Be Built In Laos

The Asian Development Bank (ADB) and Monsoon Wind Power Company Limited, signed a 692.55-million-U.S. dollar loan agreement, to build a wind power plant in Laos.

Comprising 133 wind turbines, with a capacity of 600 MW, the Monsoon Wind Power Project will be the largest wind power plant in Southeast Asia, and the first in Laos, according to a report released by the ADB yesterday.

The wind power plant will be constructed in southern Laos’ Sekong and Attapeu provinces. Electricity generated by the plant will be sold to the state-owned Electricity of Vietnam (EVN).

Cross-border power supply has been a pillar of Laos’ economic growth. Harnessing the landlocked country’s untapped wind resources can provide energy diversification, as the seasonality of the wind resource is countercyclical to the rainy season, which supports the Lao hydropower generation.

The project will give a significant boost to decarbonisation and green growth. It will reduce annual greenhouse gas emissions by at least 748,867 tonnes of carbon dioxide, according to the report.

“Developing economies in Asia and the Pacific face shortfalls in climate investments that are needed to clear a pathway to green growth,” the report quoted ADB Private Sector Operations Department Director General, Suzanne Gaboury, as saying.

“The financing from ADB and its partners will help unlock Laos’ untapped wind resources, providing a basis for a transition to clean energy and green growth that will have lasting benefits for the economy,” the report said.

Source: NAM News Network

5 things you need to know about the world’s least developed countries

Three years after the world began to shut down as COVID-19 took hold, the UN and other partners will gather in Doha, Qatar, to deliver a historic new compact to support the countries whose vulnerabilities the pandemic most exposed.

The conference of Least Developed Countries or LDCs takes place every 10 years and this year’s meeting from 5 to 9 March 2023, known as LDC5, will focus on returning the needs of the 46 designated countries to the top of the global agenda and supporting them as they strive to get back on track to sustainable development.

1. What is a Least Developed Country?

The Least Developed Countries (LDCs) are countries listed by the United Nations that exhibit the lowest indicators of socioeconomic development across a range of indexes. All LDCs have a gross national per capita income (GNI) of below USD$1,018; compare that to almost $71,000 in the United States, $44,000 in France, $9,900 in Turkey and $6,530 in South Africa according to data from World Bank.

These countries also have low scores on the indicators for nutrition, health, school enrolment and literacy and high scores for economic and environmental vulnerability, which measures factors such as remoteness, dependence on agriculture and exposure to natural disasters.

There are currently 46 LDCs, the vast majority of which are in Africa [see box below]. The list is reviewed every three years by the UN Economic and Social Council. Six countries have graduated from LDC status between 1994 and 2020.

2. What are the challenges facing the least developed countries?

Today, the 46 LDCs are home to some 1.1 billion people, that’s 14 per cent of the world’s population, and more than 75 per cent of those people still live in poverty.

More than other countries, LDCs are at risk of deepening poverty and remaining in a situation of underdevelopment. They are also vulnerable to external economic shocks, natural and man-made disasters, communicable diseases and crucially climate change.

Currently, the planet is on course to warm by about 2.7°C this century, which would devastate LDCs. These countries have contributed the least to carbon emissions, and yet face some of the highest risks from climate change.

Meanwhile, LDCs are among those most affected by COVID-19; all but eight experienced negative growth rates in 2020 and the pandemic fall-out is predicted to last longer than in richer countries.

Debt is a major problem for all LDCs: four are classified as in debt distress (Mozambique, Sao Tome and Principe, Somalia and Sudan) and 16 LDCs are at high risk of debt distress.

As such, LDCs require the highest level of attention from the international community.

3. How can the United Nations and the international community help LDCs?

The UN system’s efforts to reverse the increasing marginalisation of LDCs in the global economy and to put them on a path to sustainable growth and development date back to the 1960s.

Since then, the UN has paid special attention to LDCs, recognising them as the most vulnerable in the international community and granting them certain benefits including:

• Development financing: notably grants and loans from donors and financial institutions.

• Multilateral trading system: such as preferential market access and special treatments.

• Technical assistance: notably, towards supporting trade.

The first LDC conference was held in Paris, France in 1981 and LDC5, marking the 50th anniversary was due to be held in March 2022, but was postponed to this year due to COVID.

4. What is the Doha Programme of Action?

The Doha Programme of Action (or DPoA, for acronym lovers!) is the development road map for LDCs agreed in March 2022.

It includes six key focus areas:

1. Eradicating poverty and building capacity.

2. Leveraging the power of science, technology, and innovation to fight vulnerabilities and to achieve the SDGs.

3. Supporting structural transformation as a driver of prosperity.

4. Enhancing international trade of LDCs and regional integration.

5. Addressing climate change, environmental degradation, recovering from COVID-19 pandemic and building resilience against future shocks.

6. Mobilizing international solidarity and reinvigorating global partnerships.

The full implementation of the DPoA will help LDCs to address the COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting negative socio-economic impacts and enable them to get back on track to achieve the SDGs including addressing climate change.

The full text of the Doha Programme of Action is available here in the 6 UN official languages.

5. What can we expect from LDC5?

The UN, LDCs, Heads of State and Government, development partners, the private sector, civil society, parliamentarians, and youth will come together to agree partnerships, commitments, innovations and plans in an effort to reach the SDGs.

The UN Secretary-General is due to address the conference and has already highlighted the importance of supporting LDCs.

“The Doha Programme of Action reminds us that global recovery depends on LDCs getting the support they need. They need bold investments in health, education and social protection systems — all the resources required to fully implement Agenda 2030 and the Sustainable Development Goals.”

As LDCs take the first step towards those goals, they will meet certain targets which will enable them to graduate from the least developed country status.

Six countries have gone through this process: Botswana (in 1994), Cape Verde (2007), Maldives (2011), Samoa (2014), Equatorial Guinea (2017), and Vanuatu (2020).

List of Least Developed Countries:

The following 46 countries were listed as LDCs by the UN as of March 2023:

• Africa (33): Angola, Benin, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Niger, Rwanda, Sao Tome and Principe, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania, Togo, Uganda, and Zambia

• Asia (9): Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, Lao People’s Democratic Republic, Myanmar, Nepal, Timor-Leste and Yemen

• Caribbean (1): Haiti

• Pacific (3): Kiribati, Solomon Islands and Tuval

Source: UN News Service

Vietnam to remain important link in global supply chains: economist

Vietnam will remain an important link in global supply chains and a destination favoured by many businesses, said Tim Leelahaphan, Standard Chartered’s economist for Thailand and Vietnam, on Feb 28.

Speaking at the seminar titled “Global Economic and Financial Outlook Update: Implications for Vietnam” held by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the British bank, he said that Vietnam’s GDP growth rate may hit 7.2% this year and 6.7% in 2024.

The country’s economy still faces some macro risks such as inflation, public debt, and confidence recovery in the first half of 2023, but the recovery outlook is positive in the second half, he predicted.

Michele Wee, Chief Executive Officer at Standard Chartered Bank Vietnam Ltd., said that Vietnam has medium- and long-term development outlooks, which helps increase growth potential and attract investment.

Vietnam is playing an increasingly important role in international trade activities and global supply chains, she affirmed, adding that Standard Chartered always strives to support Vietnam’s recovery and sustainable growth in 2023 and the coming years.

Ambassador Giorgio Aliberti, Head of the European Union Delegation to Vietnam, and many economists attending the seminar agreed that Vietnam should promote green trade and provide comprehensive support for sustainability goals in the context that accelerating the implementation of commitments to digital transformation and green transformation associated with environmental criteria is a mandatory trend for almost all countries.

They proposed Vietnamese enterprises take appropriate preparations to catch up with this inevitable trend by innovating the way of thinking, changing governance methods, and building a green export strategy.

Speaking at the event, Assistant to Vietnamese Foreign Minister Nguyen Minh Hang stressed that the promotion of international cooperation to take advantage of the collaboration and support of international partners for socio-economic recovery measures, and for boosting new growth drivers such as green growth and digital transformation is very important to Vietnam.

Source: Lao News Agency

Vietnam’s rice export to enjoy favourable conditions in 2023

– Vietnam’s rice export this year is expected to benefit from many favourable conditions, including high global demand, to reach 7 million tonnes, according to the Cong Thuong (Industry & Trade) newspaper.

The January report by the US Department of Agriculture forecast the global rice trade in 2023 will decrease about 4% from last year.

Large rice exporters are predicted to witness declines, including Argentina, Brazil, Cambodia, China, the EU, India, Laos, Malaysia, Pakistan, Paraguay, Russia, Senegal, Tanzania, Turkey, Uruguay, and the US. Among them, India and Pakistan may see the sharpest falls, down by some 2.1 million tonnes in total, due to lower output and domestic market stabilisation policies.

Climate change impacts and drought in the US, Europe, and China are posing a risk of supply shortages, the Foreign Trade Agency under the Ministry of Industry and Trade told a recent conference on rice export.

Aside from rising global demand, improved quality has also boosted importing countries’ demand for Vietnamese rice, the agency noted, expecting an export volume of 6.5 – 7 million tonnes in 2023.

Import demand in traditional markets like the Philippines and Africa will stay stable in the first half of this year as they are increasing food stockpiles, according to Chairman of the Vietnam Food Association Nguyen Ngoc Nam.

Nguyen Viet Anh, Director General of the Phuong Dong food company, said businesses are now highly optimistic, and that since 2019, the sector has no longer needed support to sell out the grain, but sometimes even run out of rice to meet demand.

Last year, Vietnam exported nearly 7.2 million tonnes of rice, gaining 3.49 billion USD

Source: Lao News Agency